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SLATE / MEASURES THAT MEAN SOMETHING

SCOPE.

Scoring, Classification, and Outcome Prediction Engine

Read the signals.
Understand the next step.

Scores, personas, and predictive estimates that bring student behavior, context, and progress into focus.

Designed and built by David Dysart.

A precision brass scope with calibrated rings, grouped ivory pieces, and branching channels on a walnut base above a burgundy folio.

DIFFERENT QUESTIONS / DIFFERENT MEASURES

Engaged. Prepared.
Still facing a barrier.

A student can be highly engaged, academically prepared, and nearly finished with a checklist—and still need help taking the next step.

A school can generate substantial inquiry volume while sending few students to the application stage. SCOPE makes those distinctions visible.

THE CORE PACKAGE

Four connected pieces.
Built for your institution.

  • 01 / ENGAGEMENT

    An engagement score.

    A weighted measure of student interactions, with a defined scale and meaning.

  • 02 / CONTEXT

    A suite of signal indices.

    Volume, engagement, and funnel conversion summarized by school, origin source, geography, distance, and other relevant factors.

  • 03 / PREDICTION

    An admission-time model.

    Estimated likelihood to enroll, using information available at the time of admission.

  • 04 / CLASSIFICATION

    Person & signal personas.

    Interpretable student personas and contextual groupings, including school personas and feeder flags.

SCORING / CLASSIFICATION / OUTCOME PREDICTION

A broader view
of the student lifecycle.

The framework can extend beyond the core package. Additional scores and models are selected around your questions and available data.

SCORING

Measure what matters.

  • Engagement and academic preparation
  • Checklist completion and onboarding progress
  • Friction, momentum, and stage progression
  • Yield and melt indicators
  • Weighted signal indices for schools, sources, geography, distance, and more

Keep the scale, inputs, and interpretation clear. An engagement score of 80 does not mean an 80% chance of enrolling.

CLASSIFICATION

Make patterns usable.

  • Student personas built from multiple measures
  • School and source personas shaped by signal indices
  • Feeder flags and meaningful groupings
  • Outreach priorities grounded in context

Transparent rules explain how a classification was assigned and what it helps the team understand.

OUTCOME PREDICTION

Estimate what comes next.

  • Application likelihood before applying
  • Enrollment likelihood at admission
  • Updated post-admission yield estimates
  • Melt risk after deposit

Each model defines its population, outcome, prediction moment, and time horizon.

TWO MODEL PATTERNS / ONE OPERATIONAL HOME

Put the model
to work in Slate.

Configurable Joins combines prepared inputs into scores and applies trained model logic to records.

Logistic regression

Apply supplied coefficients to the matching inputs and calculate an estimated probability for a defined outcome.

Decision trees

Reproduce supplied splits as conditional branches, following each record to its terminal output.

Model training and validation happen before deployment. In Slate, test calculations and branch paths, then use query exports and scheduled imports to make outputs available for outreach and reporting.

PUT IT TO WORK

What do you need
to see more clearly?

Start with the core package or explore a scoring and modeling question.

Talk about SCOPE